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MÉXICO FOREIGN AFFAIRS


(5) México and the Emerging Markets

EMERGING MARKETS

This division is in charge of exploring the possibilities of starting operations in new countries or regions around the world by suggesting individuals or organizations to be our official representatives in their country or region.

Organizes the program to participate in international trade fairs, trade missions and conventions around the world to offer our members and colleagues an excellent vehicle to promote their products and services in the international market.

In addition, this division is in charge of implementing the certification of products for companies registered with our institution. With this seal of export quality, these companies will be able to penetrate other markets with a major advantage.

Emerging markets are nations with social or business activity in the process of rapid growth and industrialization. The economies of China and India are considered to be the largest.

According to The Economist many people find the term outdated, but no new term has yet to gain much traction.

Emerging market hedge fund capital reached a record new level in the first quarter of 2011 of $121 billion.

The seven largest emerging and developing economies by either nominal or inflation-adjusted GDP are the BRIC countries (China, Brazil, Russia, and India), as well as México, Indonesia, and Turkey.


The ASEAN–China Free Trade Area, launched on January 1, 2010, is the largest regional emerging market in the world.

3G countries or Global Growth Generators countries are 11 countries economies which have been identified as sources of growth potential and of profitable investment opportunities.

 

3G COUNTRIES

The most promising growth prospects countries are: Bangladesh, China, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Mongolia, Nigeria, Philippines, Sri Lanka and Vietnam. China and India as BRIC countries are 3G countries, but not for Brazil, and Russia. Developing Asia and Africa will be fastest growing regions until 2050, driven by population and income growth, so all of 3G countries came from the both continents (Asia by 9 countries and Africa by 2 countries) and no one from the other continents.

Vietnam has the highest Global Growth Generators Index among the 11 major economies, China is second with 0.81, followed by India's 0.71. This holds Vietnam as world's highest potential source of high growth and profitable investment opportunities.

October 2011: Based on a report from the HSBC Trade Confidence Index (TCI) and HSBC Trade Forecast there are 4 countries with significant trade volume growth, i.e. Egypt, India, Vietnam and Indonesia with growth expected at least 7.3 percent per year until 2025.

Global Growth Generators (3G) countries 2010-2050
Country 2010 GDP/Capita[2]  % of US GDP/Capita[3]  % Av. Growth 3G Index
 Bangladesh $1,735 4 6.3 0.39
 China $7,430 16 5.0 0.81
 Egypt $5,878 13 5.0 0.37
 India $3,298 7 6.4 0.71
 Indonesia $4,363 10 5.6 0.70
 Iraq $3,538 8 6.1 0.58
 Mongolia $3,764 8 6.3 0.63
 Nigeria $2,335 5 6.9 0.25
 Philippines $3,684 8 5.5 0.60
 Sri Lanka $4,988 11 5.1 0.33
 Vietnam $3,108 7 6.4 0.86

Note: China and India highligted in Gold with Bold text as also BRIC countries. Bigger index means better conditions. GDP per capita measured at 2010 PPP USD. Average growth is average growth in forecast of real GDP per capita measured at 2010 PPP USD.

 

Others countries

Iran and North Korea could catch the 3G countries if they achieve political transitions and open their economies. Some might add ArgentinaMyanmar, and Venezuela. Whether MéxicoBrazil,Turkey and Thailand will catch 3G countries depends on increasing their domestic saving/investment rates substantially. Some developed countries, such as IrelandCanadaAustralia and theUSA could also become 3G countries, as stated in the report.

The Top 10 Largest Economies in the World

List of the top 10 largest economies by nominal GDP from 2010 to 2050 (in current USD)
2010 Rank Country GDP 2030 Rank Country GDP 2050 Rank Country GDP
1  United States 14,612 1  China 57,138 1  China 205,321
2  China 5,860 2  United States 35,739 2  India 180,490
3  Japan 5,465 3  India 24,824 3  United States 83,805
4  Germany 3,292 4  Japan 9,213 4  Indonesia 45,901
5  France 2,602 5  Brazil 8,780 5  Nigeria 42,437
6  United Kingdom 2,259 6  Russia 7,380 6  Brazil 33,199
7  Italy 2,044 7  Indonesia 7,299 7  Russia 19,697
8  Brazil 1,989 8  Germany 6,466 8  Japan 16,394
9  India 1,596 9  United Kingdom 5,819 9  Philippines 14,738
10  Canada 1,572 10  France 5,236 10  United Kingdom 13,846

Note: 3G countries are highlighted in green colour and bold text.

List of the top 10 richest countries by GDP per capita in 2010 and 2050 (in current USD)
2010 Rank Country GDP per capita 2050 Rank Country GDP per capita
1  Singapore 56,532 1  Singapore 137,710
2  Norway 51,226 2  Hong Kong 116,639
3  United States 45,511 3  Taiwan 114,093
4  Hong Kong 45,301 4  Republic of Korea 107,752
5  Switzerland 42,470 5  United States 100,802
6  Netherlands 40,736 6  Saudi Arabia 98,311
7  Australia 40,525 7  Canada 96,375
8  Austria 39,073 8  United Kingdom 91,130
9  Canada 38,640 9  Switzerland 90,956
10  Sweden 36,438 10  Austria 90,158




 


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