FranTech México Foreign Affairs
MÉXICO FOREIGN AFFAIRS
(5) México and the Emerging Markets
EMERGING MARKETS
This division is in charge of exploring the possibilities of starting operations in new countries or regions around the world by suggesting individuals or organizations to be our official representatives in their country or region.
Organizes the program to participate in international trade fairs, trade missions and conventions around the world to offer our members and colleagues an excellent vehicle to promote their products and services in the international market.
In addition, this division is in charge of implementing the certification of products for companies registered with our institution. With this seal of export quality, these companies will be able to penetrate other markets with a major advantage.
Emerging markets are nations with social or business activity in the process of rapid growth and industrialization. The economies of China and India are considered to be the largest.
According to The Economist many people find the term outdated, but no new term has yet to gain much traction.
Emerging market hedge fund capital reached a record new level in the first quarter of 2011 of $121 billion.
The seven largest emerging and developing economies by either nominal or inflation-adjusted GDP are the BRIC countries (China, Brazil, Russia, and India), as well as México, Indonesia, and Turkey.
The ASEAN–China Free Trade Area, launched on January 1, 2010, is the largest regional emerging market in the world.
3G countries or Global Growth Generators countries are 11 countries economies which have been identified as sources of growth potential and of profitable investment opportunities.
3G COUNTRIES
The most promising growth prospects countries are: Bangladesh, China, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Iraq, Mongolia, Nigeria, Philippines, Sri Lanka and Vietnam. China and India as BRIC countries are 3G countries, but not for Brazil, and Russia. Developing Asia and Africa will be fastest growing regions until 2050, driven by population and income growth, so all of 3G countries came from the both continents (Asia by 9 countries and Africa by 2 countries) and no one from the other continents.
Vietnam has the highest Global Growth Generators Index among the 11 major economies, China is second with 0.81, followed by India's 0.71. This holds Vietnam as world's highest potential source of high growth and profitable investment opportunities.
October 2011: Based on a report from the HSBC Trade Confidence Index (TCI) and HSBC Trade Forecast there are 4 countries with significant trade volume growth, i.e. Egypt, India, Vietnam and Indonesia with growth expected at least 7.3 percent per year until 2025.
Country | 2010 GDP/Capita[2] | % of US GDP/Capita[3] | % Av. Growth | 3G Index |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bangladesh | $1,735 | 4 | 6.3 | 0.39 |
China | $7,430 | 16 | 5.0 | 0.81 |
Egypt | $5,878 | 13 | 5.0 | 0.37 |
India | $3,298 | 7 | 6.4 | 0.71 |
Indonesia | $4,363 | 10 | 5.6 | 0.70 |
Iraq | $3,538 | 8 | 6.1 | 0.58 |
Mongolia | $3,764 | 8 | 6.3 | 0.63 |
Nigeria | $2,335 | 5 | 6.9 | 0.25 |
Philippines | $3,684 | 8 | 5.5 | 0.60 |
Sri Lanka | $4,988 | 11 | 5.1 | 0.33 |
Vietnam | $3,108 | 7 | 6.4 | 0.86 |
Note: China and India highligted in Gold with Bold text as also BRIC countries. Bigger index means better conditions. GDP per capita measured at 2010 PPP USD. Average growth is average growth in forecast of real GDP per capita measured at 2010 PPP USD.
Others countries
Iran and North Korea could catch the 3G countries if they achieve political transitions and open their economies. Some might add Argentina, Myanmar, and Venezuela. Whether México, Brazil,Turkey and Thailand will catch 3G countries depends on increasing their domestic saving/investment rates substantially. Some developed countries, such as Ireland, Canada, Australia and theUSA could also become 3G countries, as stated in the report.
The Top 10 Largest Economies in the World
2010 Rank | Country | GDP | 2030 Rank | Country | GDP | 2050 Rank | Country | GDP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | United States | 14,612 | 1 | China | 57,138 | 1 | China | 205,321 |
2 | China | 5,860 | 2 | United States | 35,739 | 2 | India | 180,490 |
3 | Japan | 5,465 | 3 | India | 24,824 | 3 | United States | 83,805 |
4 | Germany | 3,292 | 4 | Japan | 9,213 | 4 | Indonesia | 45,901 |
5 | France | 2,602 | 5 | Brazil | 8,780 | 5 | Nigeria | 42,437 |
6 | United Kingdom | 2,259 | 6 | Russia | 7,380 | 6 | Brazil | 33,199 |
7 | Italy | 2,044 | 7 | Indonesia | 7,299 | 7 | Russia | 19,697 |
8 | Brazil | 1,989 | 8 | Germany | 6,466 | 8 | Japan | 16,394 |
9 | India | 1,596 | 9 | United Kingdom | 5,819 | 9 | Philippines | 14,738 |
10 | Canada | 1,572 | 10 | France | 5,236 | 10 | United Kingdom | 13,846 |
Note: 3G countries are highlighted in green colour and bold text.
2010 Rank | Country | GDP per capita | 2050 Rank | Country | GDP per capita |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Singapore | 56,532 | 1 | Singapore | 137,710 |
2 | Norway | 51,226 | 2 | Hong Kong | 116,639 |
3 | United States | 45,511 | 3 | Taiwan | 114,093 |
4 | Hong Kong | 45,301 | 4 | Republic of Korea | 107,752 |
5 | Switzerland | 42,470 | 5 | United States | 100,802 |
6 | Netherlands | 40,736 | 6 | Saudi Arabia | 98,311 |
7 | Australia | 40,525 | 7 | Canada | 96,375 |
8 | Austria | 39,073 | 8 | United Kingdom | 91,130 |
9 | Canada | 38,640 | 9 | Switzerland | 90,956 |
10 | Sweden | 36,438 | 10 | Austria | 90,158 |
FranTech México Key Points:
- (1) Quality Networking Opportunities That Yield Profitable Partnerships.
- (2) FranTech México; an Authorized México Business Agent.
- (3) México: Helping Women Design Business Blueprints.
- (4) Mexican MFA holds a seminar on opportunities in the México-México relationship.
- (5) Team Proposal.
- (6) Emerging Markets.
For more information email: Info@FranTechMecico.com
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